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2 years ago  ::  Apr 17, 2012 - 10:30AM #31
Stratocaster
Posts: 6,408

Apr 17, 2012 -- 10:20AM, BigGuy wrote:


First Pitch: What's up with Cano?


April, 17, 2012



Robinson Cano is probably the most talented player on the Yankees. He is just 29. When you combine those two traits -- talent plus 29 -- it adds up to what should be a monster year.

Prior to the season, I picked him to the win the AL MVP. So, with that in mind,it is hard for me to believe Cano's first 10 games are anything but an anomaly.

Still, Cano is hitting .244 with no homers and 1 RBI.

"That will turnaround," Joe Girardi promised.

The reason not to be concerned is that Cano doesn't look lost at the plate. His timing has been a bit off so far this season. It seems to me he is going to pick it up soon and go on a tear.

Cano said he feels "good" so tonight might be that night. There really is no logical reason not to believe it is more of a matter of when, not if, it is going to happen.






I don't worry about Cano.  He looks healthy so that's not a concern.  He's just not locked in yet... he will soon.  There are plenty of better candidates if somebody wants to write a "What the hell is up with...." article.

2 years ago  ::  Apr 17, 2012 - 10:49AM #32
BigGuy
Posts: 47,388

Apr 17, 2012 -- 10:30AM, Stratocaster wrote:

Apr 17, 2012 -- 10:20AM, BigGuy wrote:



First Pitch: What's up with Cano?


April, 17, 2012



Robinson Cano is probably the most talented player on the Yankees. He is just 29. When you combine those two traits -- talent plus 29 -- it adds up to what should be a monster year.

Prior to the season, I picked him to the win the AL MVP. So, with that in mind,it is hard for me to believe Cano's first 10 games are anything but an anomaly.

Still, Cano is hitting .244 with no homers and 1 RBI.

"That will turnaround," Joe Girardi promised.

The reason not to be concerned is that Cano doesn't look lost at the plate. His timing has been a bit off so far this season. It seems to me he is going to pick it up soon and go on a tear.

Cano said he feels "good" so tonight might be that night. There really is no logical reason not to believe it is more of a matter of when, not if, it is going to happen.





I don't worry about Cano. He looks healthy so that's not a concern. He's just not locked in yet... he will soon. There are plenty of better candidates if somebody wants to write a "What the hell is up with...." article.



I agree.  I never worry about that young man.  He looks a little off with his timing right now, but that will come.  And when it does he can carry this team for a month.  I'm more concerned about the starters right now.  They need to take these next 3 from the Twins. 

"Jay Z got him a big raise, but he also got him a 30-day vacation – it’s called October," --Pete Rose
2 years ago  ::  Apr 17, 2012 - 10:56AM #33
BigGuy
Posts: 47,388

(The following is being syndicated from The Captain’s Blog; follow me on Twitter at@williamnyy23).


Is Ivan Nova lucky or good?



Is Nova's early success the result of skill or divine intervention?



Despite going an impressive 16-4 during his rookie season, Nova’s peripherals have been a major source of skepticism. Because of his low K/9 rate of 5.3 and relatively high WHIP of 1.331 in 2011, many have regarded Nova’s 3.70 ERA, which was approximately 20% better than the park adjusted league average, as a stroke of luck. According to xFIP, a metric that calculates “expected” ERA by normalizing a pitcher’s HR rate, Nova should have allowed 4.16 runs per game, which suggests he could be a candidate for regression in 2012.


Interestingly, in two starts this season, Nova has done two things that normalized fielding independent metrics love: he has struck out a lot of batters and surrendered more homers.  In fact, he currently ranks within the top-10 in both categories. As a result, Nova’s xFIP is a sparkling 2.55, which is good for second best in the league behind only Jered Weaver.


2012 xFIP Leaders

Name Team W L IP ERA FIP xFIP
Jered Weaver Angels 1 0 14 3.21 1.62 1.88
Ivan Nova Yankees 2 0 13 4.15 4.06 2.55
Justin Masterson Indians 0 1 13 2.77 2.52 2.69
Colby Lewis Rangers 1 0 12.2 1.42 2.04 2.76
Felix Doubront Red Sox 0 0 10 5.40 2.81 3.03
CC Sabathia Yankees 0 0 12 6.75 3.82 3.04
Josh Tomlin Indians 0 1 8.2 8.31 4.64 3.07
Rick Porcello Tigers 1 0 14.2 1.84 3.11 3.07
Derek Holland Rangers 1 0 13.1 3.38 2.61 3.19
Dan Haren Angels 0 1 10.1 6.97 4.94 3.31

Source: fangraphs.com


Should the Yankees be pleased by the abundance of strikeouts in Nova’s first two starts, or concerned by the elevated hit and HR totals he has allowed? As usual with Nova, there is no easy answer. If the right hander has really taken a big step toward becoming a strikeout pitcher, it would augur well for the rest of 2012, provided his other peripherals return to being in line with 2010-2011 levels. Of course, if his elevated strikeout totals are just a small sample size blip, while his vulnerability to the long ball persists, the outlook would be negative.  At this point, more data is needed before making a guess as to which trend is sustainable, but there is an anecdotal point that might bode well for Nova.


During yesterday’s ESPN telecast, former Red Sox manager Terry Francona mentioned that his hitters noted an improvement in Nova’s breaking ball after he returned from a mid-season demotion to the minor leagues.  Because Nova throws two breaking pitches, Francona could have been talking about either the curveball or slider, if not both, but if he was referencing the latter, there is some data to support his point.


Before being sent down to Scranton in early July, Nova had thrown 1,490 pitches in 91 2/3 innings, including 393 curveballs, but no sliders. In the 73 2/3 innings after his return, Nova, threw 118 sliders, or almost 10% of his total pitch count. What’s more, Nova recorded 19 strikeouts on the slider, representing 36% of the 53 he amassed since returning against the Mets on July 30. As a result, the rookie was able to increase his K/9 rate from 4.4 before the demotion to 6.5 after being recalled.


Mix Shift of Ivan Nova’s Pitch Selection
 
Source: www.joelefkowitz.com


Was the development of a slider the main reason why Nova experienced a second half spike in his strikeout rate? Well, if you subtract the 19 punch outs he recorded on the slider, his K/9 rate would have been 4.2, or just about the same level compiled before being sent to the minors. Granted, Nova would have had a chance to record a strikeout by throwing another pitch in those 19 two-strike counts, but the symmetry is striking.


So far this year, Nova has thrown 12 sliders, which represents 6.2% of his 194 pitches. Meanwhile, he has recorded four of his 15 strikeouts with the pitch, or about 27% of the total. Albeit in a very small sample, Nova’s slider continues to be a very effective pitch for the right hander. In fact, according to fangraph.com’s PITCHf/x data, the slider has already been worth almost one run saved (wSL), which is equal to the amount recorded last season. Obviously, that doesn’t mean Nova’s K/9 rate of 10-plus is sustainable, but it could suggest that he has the potential to strikeout 1 to 2 more batters per nine innings than his current career totals indicate. If so, Nova just might be a strong candidate to improve upon, instead of regress from, his 2011 rookie campaign.

"Jay Z got him a big raise, but he also got him a 30-day vacation – it’s called October," --Pete Rose
2 years ago  ::  Apr 17, 2012 - 11:12AM #34
BigGuy
Posts: 47,388

Prospect On The Rise: Tyler Austin



Photo

Lintao Zhang - Getty ImagesMore photos »




Tyler Austin is currently raking for the Charleston RiverDogs, to the tune of a .444 average with three home runs and ten runs batted in following last night's 2-for-4 performance. I know it's early, and I know it's Single A-ball, but this start is certainly worth discussing and looking at a bit closer. For some further analysis, let's turn to someone who recently got the chance to watch Austin in person, for a first hand perspective..


There are plenty of scouting reports out there on Austin, and if you so choose, feel free to do a search on your own and dig them up. Since I'd rather give the traffic to a fellow SB Nation site, I'll direct you to John Sickels over at MinorLeagueBall.comfor his brief take on Austin, and the ensuing discussion in the comments section of his Top 20 Yankee Prospects:


9) Tyler Austin, 3B, Grade B-: Borderline C+. I don't know why this guy doesn't get more attention. Polished bat for a 19-year-old, defense needs work, has stolen 18 bases without getting caught in his career so far.


Since this write-up, Austin has made the switch to the outfield, and seems to be adjusting well to his new position. That said, let's move on to the good stuff.

Mike Newman of ScoutingTheSally.com does some fantastic work, and scouted the Charleston RiverDogs (this read is HIGHLY recommended) this past weekend. He offers up an entire write-up on what he saw during the opening game over at Fangraphs, and offers up this viewpoint on Austin's performance from that game:


Right fielder Tyler Austin hit long home runs to both right and left field, showing impressive present power. However, both were on bad balls left up in the zone proving his ability to handle mistakes, but a longer look is needed to see how Austin makes adjustments to quality pitches as he beat balls from Tim Hudson into the ground. Of course an A-ball hitter facing a professional on a rehab stint who induces ground balls for a living isn’t exactly ideal to draw judgments from, but it’s the sample I have to work with.


Newman praised Austin on Saturday over on Twitter, noting his impressive bat speed and the loft on his swing. He goes on to note that Austin has been the most positive surprise during his evaluation of the RiverDogs.

So does that automatically put Tyler Austin on the Top 100 prospect radar? Not exactly. It's a good opening few weeks, and the signs are there to suggest a breakout season. Scouting reports will get around on him, and pitchers will make adjustments, and that's when we'll really see what Tyler Austin is made of as a hitter. Sure, he can beat up on A-ball pitchers, but will he see the same results at Double-A and Triple-A in the future? Only time will tell, and we can only hope he sees this success as he advances.

One skill that Austin has yet to display is his speed, and despite it being merely above average, he was a perfect 18-for-18 on steal attempts last season in 47 minor league games. It's little things like this which make him such an intriguing prospect, and there is something to be said for a guy with solid skills who comes to the park everyday and just performs, even if the initial scouting reports aren't glowing.

Tyler Austin is a good young baseball player, and despite not getting the hype of teammates Gary Sanchez, Mason Williams, and Dante Bichette Jr., he's developing a well rounded skill set that may help the Yankees down the road.

"Jay Z got him a big raise, but he also got him a 30-day vacation – it’s called October," --Pete Rose
2 years ago  ::  Apr 17, 2012 - 11:18AM #35
Stratocaster
Posts: 6,408

Apr 17, 2012 -- 10:49AM, BigGuy wrote:

Apr 17, 2012 -- 10:30AM, Stratocaster wrote:

Apr 17, 2012 -- 10:20AM, BigGuy wrote:



First Pitch: What's up with Cano?


April, 17, 2012



Robinson Cano is probably the most talented player on the Yankees. He is just 29. When you combine those two traits -- talent plus 29 -- it adds up to what should be a monster year.

Prior to the season, I picked him to the win the AL MVP. So, with that in mind,it is hard for me to believe Cano's first 10 games are anything but an anomaly.

Still, Cano is hitting .244 with no homers and 1 RBI.

"That will turnaround," Joe Girardi promised.

The reason not to be concerned is that Cano doesn't look lost at the plate. His timing has been a bit off so far this season. It seems to me he is going to pick it up soon and go on a tear.

Cano said he feels "good" so tonight might be that night. There really is no logical reason not to believe it is more of a matter of when, not if, it is going to happen.





I don't worry about Cano. He looks healthy so that's not a concern. He's just not locked in yet... he will soon. There are plenty of better candidates if somebody wants to write a "What the hell is up with...." article.



I agree.  I never worry about that young man.  He looks a little off with his timing right now, but that will come.  And when it does he can carry this team for a month.  I'm more concerned about the starters right now.  They need to take these next 3 from the Twins. 






Yeah, the starters need to get it together.  We've seen isolated good performances, but nobody has been consistent.  Even Nova hasn't been as good as his 2-0 record suggests.  He's been pitching with some good luck and support.  The others have been either up and down or just plain not good so far.  Let's hope CC gets it rolling tonight!

2 years ago  ::  Apr 17, 2012 - 11:27AM #36
Stratocaster
Posts: 6,408

Apr 17, 2012 -- 11:12AM, BigGuy wrote:

Prospect On The Rise: Tyler Austin



Photo

Lintao Zhang - Getty ImagesMore photos »




Tyler Austin is currently raking for the Charleston RiverDogs, to the tune of a .444 average with three home runs and ten runs batted in following last night's 2-for-4 performance. I know it's early, and I know it's Single A-ball, but this start is certainly worth discussing and looking at a bit closer. For some further analysis, let's turn to someone who recently got the chance to watch Austin in person, for a first hand perspective..


There are plenty of scouting reports out there on Austin, and if you so choose, feel free to do a search on your own and dig them up. Since I'd rather give the traffic to a fellow SB Nation site, I'll direct you to John Sickels over at MinorLeagueBall.comfor his brief take on Austin, and the ensuing discussion in the comments section of his Top 20 Yankee Prospects:


9) Tyler Austin, 3B, Grade B-: Borderline C+. I don't know why this guy doesn't get more attention. Polished bat for a 19-year-old, defense needs work, has stolen 18 bases without getting caught in his career so far.


Since this write-up, Austin has made the switch to the outfield, and seems to be adjusting well to his new position. That said, let's move on to the good stuff.

Mike Newman of ScoutingTheSally.com does some fantastic work, and scouted the Charleston RiverDogs (this read is HIGHLY recommended) this past weekend. He offers up an entire write-up on what he saw during the opening game over at Fangraphs, and offers up this viewpoint on Austin's performance from that game:


Right fielder Tyler Austin hit long home runs to both right and left field, showing impressive present power. However, both were on bad balls left up in the zone proving his ability to handle mistakes, but a longer look is needed to see how Austin makes adjustments to quality pitches as he beat balls from Tim Hudson into the ground. Of course an A-ball hitter facing a professional on a rehab stint who induces ground balls for a living isn’t exactly ideal to draw judgments from, but it’s the sample I have to work with.


Newman praised Austin on Saturday over on Twitter, noting his impressive bat speed and the loft on his swing. He goes on to note that Austin has been the most positive surprise during his evaluation of the RiverDogs.

So does that automatically put Tyler Austin on the Top 100 prospect radar? Not exactly. It's a good opening few weeks, and the signs are there to suggest a breakout season. Scouting reports will get around on him, and pitchers will make adjustments, and that's when we'll really see what Tyler Austin is made of as a hitter. Sure, he can beat up on A-ball pitchers, but will he see the same results at Double-A and Triple-A in the future? Only time will tell, and we can only hope he sees this success as he advances.

One skill that Austin has yet to display is his speed, and despite it being merely above average, he was a perfect 18-for-18 on steal attempts last season in 47 minor league games. It's little things like this which make him such an intriguing prospect, and there is something to be said for a guy with solid skills who comes to the park everyday and just performs, even if the initial scouting reports aren't glowing.

Tyler Austin is a good young baseball player, and despite not getting the hype of teammates Gary Sanchez, Mason Williams, and Dante Bichette Jr., he's developing a well rounded skill set that may help the Yankees down the road.






Hey BG...  Do you think before long they'll promote either Austin or Bichette?  It might be nice to separate the two so they can both play 3B.  Obviously you don't want to rush anybody to accomplish that, but it would be nice to give them both a chance and then see who's the better defender there.  I'm sure, based on the reports I've seen, that either or even eventually both of them could handle a corner OF spot if necessary.  Just a thought.

2 years ago  ::  Apr 17, 2012 - 12:18PM #37
BigGuy
Posts: 47,388

Apr 17, 2012 -- 11:27AM, Stratocaster wrote:

Apr 17, 2012 -- 11:12AM, BigGuy wrote:


Prospect On The Rise: Tyler Austin



Photo

Lintao Zhang - Getty ImagesMore photos »




Tyler Austin is currently raking for the Charleston RiverDogs, to the tune of a .444 average with three home runs and ten runs batted in following last night's 2-for-4 performance. I know it's early, and I know it's Single A-ball, but this start is certainly worth discussing and looking at a bit closer. For some further analysis, let's turn to someone who recently got the chance to watch Austin in person, for a first hand perspective..


There are plenty of scouting reports out there on Austin, and if you so choose, feel free to do a search on your own and dig them up. Since I'd rather give the traffic to a fellow SB Nation site, I'll direct you to John Sickels over at MinorLeagueBall.comfor his brief take on Austin, and the ensuing discussion in the comments section of his Top 20 Yankee Prospects:


9) Tyler Austin, 3B, Grade B-: Borderline C+. I don't know why this guy doesn't get more attention. Polished bat for a 19-year-old, defense needs work, has stolen 18 bases without getting caught in his career so far.


Since this write-up, Austin has made the switch to the outfield, and seems to be adjusting well to his new position. That said, let's move on to the good stuff.

Mike Newman of ScoutingTheSally.com does some fantastic work, and scouted the Charleston RiverDogs (this read is HIGHLY recommended) this past weekend. He offers up an entire write-up on what he saw during the opening game over at Fangraphs, and offers up this viewpoint on Austin's performance from that game:


Right fielder Tyler Austin hit long home runs to both right and left field, showing impressive present power. However, both were on bad balls left up in the zone proving his ability to handle mistakes, but a longer look is needed to see how Austin makes adjustments to quality pitches as he beat balls from Tim Hudson into the ground. Of course an A-ball hitter facing a professional on a rehab stint who induces ground balls for a living isn’t exactly ideal to draw judgments from, but it’s the sample I have to work with.


Newman praised Austin on Saturday over on Twitter, noting his impressive bat speed and the loft on his swing. He goes on to note that Austin has been the most positive surprise during his evaluation of the RiverDogs.

So does that automatically put Tyler Austin on the Top 100 prospect radar? Not exactly. It's a good opening few weeks, and the signs are there to suggest a breakout season. Scouting reports will get around on him, and pitchers will make adjustments, and that's when we'll really see what Tyler Austin is made of as a hitter. Sure, he can beat up on A-ball pitchers, but will he see the same results at Double-A and Triple-A in the future? Only time will tell, and we can only hope he sees this success as he advances.

One skill that Austin has yet to display is his speed, and despite it being merely above average, he was a perfect 18-for-18 on steal attempts last season in 47 minor league games. It's little things like this which make him such an intriguing prospect, and there is something to be said for a guy with solid skills who comes to the park everyday and just performs, even if the initial scouting reports aren't glowing.

Tyler Austin is a good young baseball player, and despite not getting the hype of teammates Gary Sanchez, Mason Williams, and Dante Bichette Jr., he's developing a well rounded skill set that may help the Yankees down the road.





Hey BG... Do you think before long they'll promote either Austin or Bichette? It might be nice to separate the two so they can both play 3B. Obviously you don't want to rush anybody to accomplish that, but it would be nice to give them both a chance and then see who's the better defender there. I'm sure, based on the reports I've seen, that either or even eventually both of them could handle a corner OF spot if necessary. Just a thought.



I think Austin gets promoted in the next month.  They have him playing rightfield now but he's a 3rd baseman by trade.  They want him back there and with Dante playing 3rd it makes sense to move Austin up to Tampa soon.  I'd also expect Campos to go up in the next month too.

"Jay Z got him a big raise, but he also got him a 30-day vacation – it’s called October," --Pete Rose
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