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What if
1 year ago  ::  May 01, 2012 - 3:29PM #41
Lola
Posts: 12,787

May 1, 2012 -- 10:00AM, 61in61 wrote:


Apr 30, 2012 -- 8:51PM, Lola wrote:


Be happy Loon.... just think of all the bad deals Cashman didn't make. He didn't trade for Santana.... hey there's an idea. Make it happen Cashman, surely the farm hasn't been completely depleted.




Why would trading for Santana have been a bad thing?




Seriously????


Ask a Met fan.

1 year ago  ::  May 01, 2012 - 3:31PM #42
ratmann
Posts: 976

May 1, 2012 -- 3:27PM, Lola wrote:


May 1, 2012 -- 12:58AM, AJFreeway wrote:


Apr 30, 2012 -- 8:29PM, luvdayanks wrote:

Cashman had pulled off a deal getting King Felix and the same thing happened to him as Pineda. Would he be taking the ridiculous flack he's getting that it was a bad deal? Just curious.



That's a loaded question. Seattle never would have traded King Felix because he wasn't injured before the deal like Pineda was. Cashman gets this kind of treatment because he has been making these disastrous deals for pitching for a very long time now. This is just the latest edition.







And how do you know Pineda was injured before the deal? Do you have evidence of this? He came with a clean bill of health.... you think they didn't make sure of that. You think they didn't go over Pineda with a fine toothe comb. You can't just make false statements AJ without backing them up.




and yet in another thread , you said it wasnt cashman's job to make sure pineda was healthy and in shape .  so which one is it?

1 year ago  ::  May 01, 2012 - 3:36PM #43
Lola
Posts: 12,787

May 1, 2012 -- 3:31PM, ratmann wrote:


May 1, 2012 -- 3:27PM, Lola wrote:


May 1, 2012 -- 12:58AM, AJFreeway wrote:


Apr 30, 2012 -- 8:29PM, luvdayanks wrote:

Cashman had pulled off a deal getting King Felix and the same thing happened to him as Pineda. Would he be taking the ridiculous flack he's getting that it was a bad deal? Just curious.



That's a loaded question. Seattle never would have traded King Felix because he wasn't injured before the deal like Pineda was. Cashman gets this kind of treatment because he has been making these disastrous deals for pitching for a very long time now. This is just the latest edition.







And how do you know Pineda was injured before the deal? Do you have evidence of this? He came with a clean bill of health.... you think they didn't make sure of that. You think they didn't go over Pineda with a fine toothe comb. You can't just make false statements AJ without backing them up.




and yet in another thread , you said it wasnt cashman's job to make sure pineda was healthy and in shape .  so which one is it?




Don't put words in my mouth and try try and spin this.... It's NOT Cashman's job to follow this guy around with a training program and diet plan! Obviously it was his job to make sure Pineda was NOT injured before thet signed him. Clearly even you can comprehend this concept.

1 year ago  ::  May 01, 2012 - 3:40PM #44
ratmann
Posts: 976

May 1, 2012 -- 3:36PM, Lola wrote:


May 1, 2012 -- 3:31PM, ratmann wrote:


May 1, 2012 -- 3:27PM, Lola wrote:


May 1, 2012 -- 12:58AM, AJFreeway wrote:


Apr 30, 2012 -- 8:29PM, luvdayanks wrote:

Cashman had pulled off a deal getting King Felix and the same thing happened to him as Pineda. Would he be taking the ridiculous flack he's getting that it was a bad deal? Just curious.



That's a loaded question. Seattle never would have traded King Felix because he wasn't injured before the deal like Pineda was. Cashman gets this kind of treatment because he has been making these disastrous deals for pitching for a very long time now. This is just the latest edition.







And how do you know Pineda was injured before the deal? Do you have evidence of this? He came with a clean bill of health.... you think they didn't make sure of that. You think they didn't go over Pineda with a fine toothe comb. You can't just make false statements AJ without backing them up.




and yet in another thread , you said it wasnt cashman's job to make sure pineda was healthy and in shape .  so which one is it?




Don't put words in my mouth and try try and spin this.... It's NOT Cashman's job to follow this guy around with a training program and diet plan! Obviously it was his job to make sure Pineda was NOT injured before thet signed him. Clearly even you can comprehend this concept.





i am not putting words in your mouth , you said the yanks checked him with a fine tooth comb to make sure he was healthy and in shape when the trade happened and in another thread you said  that cashman couldnt keep and eye on him 24 7 before ST . so again i ask you which is it?

1 year ago  ::  May 01, 2012 - 3:40PM #45
61in61
Posts: 12,905

May 1, 2012 -- 11:52AM, newinn wrote:


One year of Santanna, then the injury and many would be screaming that Cashman traded for a guy on the downhill of his career that was showing signs of decline. I doubt we make the playoffs in '08 but even if we did, it's not good for organizations to just look at one year at a time.




He had 3 good years with the Mets, not just one. Hughes and Chamberlain are still struggling and have had a bunch of injuries as well, and Melky got traded anyway. I don't know where this idea that Santana was showing signs of decline. He still had a sub 3.00 ERA in 2010. He was only 29. Cliff Lee was 32 and the Yanks were ready to open the bank for him.

1 year ago  ::  May 01, 2012 - 3:48PM #46
61in61
Posts: 12,905

May 1, 2012 -- 3:29PM, Lola wrote:


May 1, 2012 -- 10:00AM, 61in61 wrote:


Apr 30, 2012 -- 8:51PM, Lola wrote:


Be happy Loon.... just think of all the bad deals Cashman didn't make. He didn't trade for Santana.... hey there's an idea. Make it happen Cashman, surely the farm hasn't been completely depleted.




Why would trading for Santana have been a bad thing?




Seriously????


Ask a Met fan.




Who cares what Met fans think? What about the deal the Yanks gave AJ for a lot poorer performance? Look at his numbers for 2008-10. Those numbers would have been a bargain in Yankeeland. He had 3 good years and is looking pretty good so far this year.

1 year ago  ::  May 01, 2012 - 3:49PM #47
newinn
Posts: 14,149

May 1, 2012 -- 3:40PM, 61in61 wrote:


May 1, 2012 -- 11:52AM, newinn wrote:


One year of Santanna, then the injury and many would be screaming that Cashman traded for a guy on the downhill of his career that was showing signs of decline. I doubt we make the playoffs in '08 but even if we did, it's not good for organizations to just look at one year at a time.




He had 3 good years with the Mets, not just one. Hughes and Chamberlain are still struggling and have had a bunch of injuries as well, and Melky got traded anyway. I don't know where this idea that Santana was showing signs of decline. He still had a sub 3.00 ERA in 2010. He was only 29. Cliff Lee was 32 and the Yanks were ready to open the bank for him.





For the record, I wanted Santanna but not for what the Twins were asking for. Cashman was right on this one by passing on Santanna and signing CC for just money. Hughes and Joba certainly have not yet turned out to be what we all expected but at the time imo it was the right call. Santana's velocity was in a pretty steady decline

1 year ago  ::  May 01, 2012 - 3:52PM #48
ratmann
Posts: 976

May 1, 2012 -- 3:49PM, newinn wrote:


May 1, 2012 -- 3:40PM, 61in61 wrote:


May 1, 2012 -- 11:52AM, newinn wrote:


One year of Santanna, then the injury and many would be screaming that Cashman traded for a guy on the downhill of his career that was showing signs of decline. I doubt we make the playoffs in '08 but even if we did, it's not good for organizations to just look at one year at a time.




He had 3 good years with the Mets, not just one. Hughes and Chamberlain are still struggling and have had a bunch of injuries as well, and Melky got traded anyway. I don't know where this idea that Santana was showing signs of decline. He still had a sub 3.00 ERA in 2010. He was only 29. Cliff Lee was 32 and the Yanks were ready to open the bank for him.





For the record, I wanted Santanna but not for what the Twins were asking for. Cashman was right on this one by passing on Santanna and signing CC for just money. Hughes and Joba certainly have not yet turned out to be what we all expected but at the time imo it was the right call. Santana's velocity was in a pretty steady decline




the yanks would have had both cc and santana 

1 year ago  ::  May 01, 2012 - 3:52PM #49
61in61
Posts: 12,905

May 1, 2012 -- 12:12PM, NYYGuy wrote:


May 1, 2012 -- 11:43AM, 61in61 wrote:


May 1, 2012 -- 11:23AM, NYYGuy wrote:


May 1, 2012 -- 10:34AM, 61in61 wrote:


May 1, 2012 -- 10:06AM, NYYGuy wrote:


May 1, 2012 -- 10:00AM, 61in61 wrote:


Apr 30, 2012 -- 8:51PM, Lola wrote:


Be happy Loon.... just think of all the bad deals Cashman didn't make. He didn't trade for Santana.... hey there's an idea. Make it happen Cashman, surely the farm hasn't been completely depleted.




Why would trading for Santana have been a bad thing?




Ask the Mets what they think of paying $137M for 6 years of a guy past his prime and battling injuries over the last couple of years.


 


 


 




In his first 3 years with the Mets he was 40-25/2.85. That's a lot more than what the Yanks got out of AJ and a host of other starting pitchers the Yanks have tried. The principal components of that trade have all had their share of  injures, ineffectiveness or been traded. You can't predict what scenarios would have changed. Maybe Santana doesn't get hurt with the Yankees. Maybe the Yanks make the post season in 2008 with Santana. Looking back it doesn't look like such a bad trade to me.






That ERA is good, but not 6/$137M good. The Yankees would have paid all of that and then some and there was zero chance he would have lived up to that contract. And let's not forget that the Yankees would have not been getting the 2004 Johan Santana in his prime.  They were getting a guy who was showing signs that he had already past the high point in his career.


We'll never really know what the Twins wanted from the Yankees for Santana. Personally I think it would have been a lot more than just Hughes. And sure, maybe they would have made the playoffs in 2008 with Santana. I doubt it though. Do you really think they were better than the Rays and Red Sox? Even if they did get in I certainly didn't see them winning a championship. That team couldn't hit a lick and their rotation after Mussina was atrocious, especially after they lost CMW and Joba.





"their rotation after Mussina was atrocious, especially after they lost CMW and Joba." That's the whole point. With Santana in there I'm sure he would have made up the 6 game defecit to at least get a WC. With better starting pitching the Yanks would have had a very good chance. The Cardinals just squeaked in last year and won the WS.





Fallacy of the predetermined outcome  (tm Kay). With Santana in Mussina's spot, you can't be sure Mike Mussina is a 20 game winner, and in the end it wouldn't  matter anyway.


The bigger problem was they couldn't hit, especially with RISP. Their OPS+ for the year was barely above 100, meaning they were an average hitting ballclub compared to their competition. Guys like Betemit, Molina, Moeller, Pudge, Shelley Duncan all got a lot of playing time when they really shouldn't have. Cano did not have a good year. Gardner was nowhere near the player that he is now. I doubt Santana alone would have gotten them to the playoffs and it's a certainty that they would have not won a title that year.


Don't be fooled by the 6 game spread. The gap was realistically a lot bigger than that. The 08 Yankees finally started getting "hot" when it was way too late. The Rays and Red Sox were superior ballclubs that year, top to bottom, and the Yankees paying $137M+ for Santana wouldn't have changed that one bit.




If you want to talk about the fallacy of a pre determined outcome than you could also say Santana may never have been injured with the Yankees. There are a lot of variables that could never be known. Given what we do know, I still think it would have been a good trade even if it cost Hughes,Chamberlain, Melky and a year to injuries.

1 year ago  ::  May 01, 2012 - 3:53PM #50
NYYGuy
Posts: 3,308

May 1, 2012 -- 3:40PM, 61in61 wrote:


May 1, 2012 -- 11:52AM, newinn wrote:


One year of Santanna, then the injury and many would be screaming that Cashman traded for a guy on the downhill of his career that was showing signs of decline. I doubt we make the playoffs in '08 but even if we did, it's not good for organizations to just look at one year at a time.




He had 3 good years with the Mets, not just one. Hughes and Chamberlain are still struggling and have had a bunch of injuries as well, and Melky got traded anyway. I don't know where this idea that Santana was showing signs of decline. He still had a sub 3.00 ERA in 2010. He was only 29. Cliff Lee was 32 and the Yanks were ready to open the bank for him.




If you're getting paid $20M+ a year for 6 years... then merely "good" is unacceptable. You better be a lot better than that. Santana's K-Rate has been in decline for a few years now, and his walk rate has gone up. His home run rate had trended upward up until his trade to the Mets. Not good. I can imagine how many HRs he'd be giving up at the Stadium playing in the AL East. With the Mets he's giving up a few less homers but then again Citi field IS a pitchers park....


The Cliff Lee trade would have been a disaster and I was really happy at the time to see it fall through. Lee made it perfectly clear that he was never going to stay here if he was traded here, he would have gone out the door after the season ended. You guys think trading Montero for a guy who's injured is bad? How about trading Montero and whoever else the M's wanted.... for nothing? That's what the Yankees would have been left with.

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