The 2010 All-Star break is finally here! John Sterling always says, “You can’t predict baseball.” He’s probably right, because half of my predictions at the start of the season are nowhere near coming true. But just for fun, I will give an analysis of the first half and I will make my predictions on how the second half of the season will play out.
Let’s start with the National League.
National League East
Atlanta Braves
Record: 52-36
Rank: 1st
The braves this season started off slow trailing behind the Mets and the Phillies. Suddenly out of nowhere they started to heat up while the Phillies broke down and David Wright kept striking out. Atlanta now has sole possession of first place in the East running away four games ahead of the Mets.
New York Mets
Record: 48-40
Rank: 2nd (4.0 GB)
The Mets had an expected slow start coming out of spring training with another handful of injuries. It also wasn’t a lot of help in the very beginning when David Wright seemed to be striking out in every single one of his ABs. Then came Ike Davis. Davis was called up from the minors to play first base. Ever since then the Mets have gotten going. They were in first place a couple of times, but quickly lost the spot due to slumps. Right now they are sitting in second place four games behind the Braves.
Philadelphia Phillies
Record: 47-40
Rank: 3rd (4.5 GB)
In the beginning of the season the Phillies were once again the favorite to lead the NL East race. What isn’t favored is seeing them sitting in third place and 4.5 games behind the Atlanta Braves. Unfortunately for the Phillies this is the current status. The team was rocked with injuries this half of the season losing players like Jimmy Rollins and Placido Polanco. Jimmy Rollins recently came back, but Polanco is still on the DL with a sore elbow. Just when you wouldn’t think things would get worse they did. Chase Utley was place on the DL after spraining a ligament in his right thumb. He went into surgery and isn’t expected to be back until late July or early August. They still have Ryan Howard’s power bat, but losing Utley’s loses a lot of power in the lineup.
Florida Marlins
Record: 41-46
Rank: 4th (11.0 GB)
The Florida Marlins are turning out to be a bit of a disappointment. I wasn’t expecting them to be in the race for first place, but I was expecting them to be a .500 team. Hunter Jones is out for the season and is expected to undergo Tommy John surgery. John Baker has been on the 60-day DL with a muscle strain near the right elbow. That’s their only injuries.
Washington Nationals
Record: 39-49
Rank: 5th (13.5 GB)
The Nationals were another team I expected to be .500 but they too are a disappointment. Their pitching staff, however, has been rocked with injuries. Jesus Flores, Jason Marquis, Garrett Mock, Scott Olsen, Tyler Walker, Chien-Ming Wang, and Jordan Zimmerman are all on the disabled list. Some are expected to be back and some not so much.
National League Central
Cincinnati Reds
Record: 49-40
Rank: 1st
No one expected the Reds to be in first place at this point. Though they have the spot, their record is still not great. Unless they can find a way to get furthur away from the Cardinals then they can lose first place in the second half.
St. Louis Cardinals
Record: 46-41
Rank: 2nd (2.0 GB)
St. Louis is the favored team to win the NL central. They may be in second, but they are only two games behind the Reds and are starting to really heat up. Expect St. Louis to claim first place in the second half.
Chicago Cubs
Record: 39-49
Rank: 3rd (9.5 GB)
The Cubs are in a position I expected them to be in at this point of the season. I didn’t expect them to be a .500 team this season. They are also dealing with a few injuries including Alfonso Soriano who is day-to-day after getting hit by a pitch on the left elbow that forced him to leave the game on July 7th.
Milwaukee Brewers
Record: 39-49
Rank: 3rd (9.5)
The Brewers are currently tied with the Cubs for third place in the NL Central. Again, this is another team I didn’t expect to be .500. I don’t expect much to change.
Houston Astros
Record: 36-53
Rank: 5th (12.5 GB)
Everything has been going wrong for the Astros this season. Their hitting has been terrible and their pitching has been dreadful. There really isn’t much else to say other than they’ll end the season in fifth place.
Pittsburgh Pirates
Record: 30-58
Rank: 6th (18 GB)
Again…there isn’t much to say. Just not good. They’ll end in last place. What a surprise.
National League West
San Diego Padres
Record: 51-37
Rank: 1st
The Padres are coming out of nowhere this season. No one expected to see them in first place at this point. They’ve held on the first place consistantly for most of the first half. The Hairston brothers, Jerry and Scott, have been very dominant in the lineup. I believe this has to do with the simple fact that they are finally playing on a team together.
Colorado Rockies
Record: 49-39
Rank: 2nd (2.0 GB)
It’s going to be a tough battle in the end between the Rockies and Padres for first place. Ubaldo Jimenez is clearly a Cy Young Award contender with a 15-1 record and a 2.20 ERA. He also pitched a no-hitter in the very beginning of the season. His success is bringing out the best in his team.
Los Angeles Dodgers
Record: 49-39
Rank: 2nd (2.0 GB)
The Dodgers have been disappointing this season. They were expected to again be a contender for first place in the West, but have not been living to the hype. A lot of it has to do with the bullpen that has given up a lot of leads this season. Right now they are neck in neck with the Rockies for second place, but I think the Dodgers will end the season in third.
San Francisco Giants
Record: 47-41
Rank: 4th (4.0 GB)
Pitching has been great for the Giants, however, hitting has not. The Giants have a few aces on their team but they almost never have enough run support to aid them.
Arizona Diamondbacks
Record: 34-55
Rank: 5th (17.5 GB)
Just another team where there’s not much to say. Too many things have gone wrong for the D-Backs and I feel they will not turn it around. They will remain and finish in last place in the west.
And now the American League.
American League East
New York Yankees
Record: 56-32
Rank: 1st
The Yankees right now have the best record in baseball. The strange part is that they have yet to play their best baseball. This year for the Yankees it’s been all about the pitching. CC Sabathia, Andy Pettitte, and Phil Hughes each have 11 wins going into the all-star break. This is the first time this has happened in franchise history. AJ Burnett started off hot and then had a dreadful June, but bounced back quickly once July rolled around. Javier Vazquez was sort of the opposite. He started off dreadful with bad location and velocity. He changed all of that after a great outing in Detroit. This season Vazquez has pitched two games where he pitched a no-hitter into the sixth inning. Mark Teixeira had an abnormally slower start to this season, but he is heating up and is still on pace to hit at least 30 home runs and 100 RBI by the end of the season. Alex Rodriguez also took a while to get going. Robinson Cano has been the star of the Yankees offense this season leading the team in average and home runs. Brett Gardner is having a fantastic season at the plate.
Tampa Bay Rays
Record: 54-34
Rank: 2nd (2.0 GB)
The Rays have gotten off to a fantastic start. They had sole possession of first place in the AL East for most of the first half. Their pitching, too, has also been stellar. David Price is currently leading the American League in wins and he and Jeff Neimann both have an ERA under 3.00. The reason why they were leading over the Yankees most of first half is because their hitting was better during that time. Evan Longoria is having yet another great season so far hitting .294 with 13 home runs, 61 RBI, and 98 hits. Carl Crawford is also having a fantastic start to the season. He is hitting .320 with 104 hits. He has stolen 30 bases and was only caught 8 times. The Rays hit a bit of a slump that dropped them out of first place, but they are slowly heating up again.
Boston Red Sox
Record: 51-37
Rank: 3rd (5.0 GB)
The Red Sox have been a very strange team this season. They have not played as well as they usually do. They have been stuck in both the third and fourth place spots. They seemed like they were coming around when they claimed 2nd place, but it was quickly lost when they were rocked by injuries. Pitchers Josh Beckett, Manny Delcarmen, and Clay Buchholz are all on the disabled list. Jacoby Ellsbury has been on and off the DL and is currently on it now. Dustin Pedroia, Victor Martinez, and Jason Varitek are the recent victims of the injury bug. These are huge names for the Red Sox. Pedroia has had a pretty good start to the season. Losing him is pretty huge in that lineup.
Toronto Blue Jays
Record: 44-45
Rank: 4th (12.5 GB)
Toronto started off very well when no one expected them to. They broke out by blasting the most home runs as a team so far this season. One red flag about their lineup though is that none of the regulars are hitting over .300 which is a big reason why they are over and under .500 constantly.
Baltimore Orioles
Record: 28-59
Rank: 5th (27.0 GB)
::Shaking my head:: All I’m going to say is expect this team to end the season at least 35 games behind the Yankees and with the worst record in baseball.
American League Central
Chicago White Sox
Record: 49-38
Rank: 1st
This is a team that did not start off well at all. My eyes bugged out of my head when I looked at the standings just now and saw them in first place. This will not last long. Their pitching staff is not strong enough to keep a good rhythm going. They’ll wind up in third place.
Detroit Tigers
Record: 48-38
Rank: 2nd (0.5 GB)
The Tigers didn’t have the best start to the season, but they are starting to heat up. Miguel Cabrera has really broken out this season and is leading the team in average, home runs, and RBI. He’s also leading all of MLB in batting average. Rookies Brennan Boesch and Austin Jackson are also have terrific seasons. They will be in the running for Rookie of the year by the end of the season.
Minnesota Twins
Record: 46-42
Rank: 3rd (3.5 GB)
The Twins had a terrific start to the season. They were leading the AL Central for most of the half, but have recently hit some skids that knocked them to third. Due to the size of their new stadium Target Field, power hitters (like Joe Mauer) are finding it difficult to hit home runs. The Twins will find a way to bounce back and be in the running for first place once again.
Kansas City Royals
Record: 39-49
Ranks: 4th (10.5 GB)
Once again the Royals are having a year of bad pitching and poor run support. 2009 Cy Young Award winner Zack Greinke still has his great stuff, but has not been getting the run support he deserves. Because of this he has a 5-8 record. He does however have two complete games.
Cleveland Indians
Record: 34-54
Rank: 5th (15.5 GB)
The Indians biggest problem this season is pitching. They get the run support, but most of the time the starting pitching and bullpen just can’t hold onto the lead. I’m not expecting this to change much. They will end the season in last place.
American League West
Texas Rangers
Record: 50-38
Rank: 1st
The Rangers have really turned things around this season. Instead of heading toward a race for the wild card they are cruising in first place. Their pitching hasn’t been it’s best, but they have been getting great run support to keep them in first. Plus they just aquired Cliff Lee and they should get a handful of more wins with him.
Los Angeles Angels
Record: 47-44
Rank: 2nd (4.5 GB)
The Angels are always the favorite to take the West, but this year they have not lived to expectations. Usually at this point they are in first, but instead they are trailing by 4.5 games. The loss of Kendry Morales is going to have an even heavier impact on the struggles of this team.
Oakland Athletics
Record: 43-46
Rank: 3rd (7.5 GB)
The A’s started off pretty well in the beginning of the season. They were in second place and hitting well. Their pitching has started to falter recently. Dallas Braden pitched a perfect game on Mother’s Day and has not won a game since (not that he was anything spectacular anyway).
Seattle Mariners
Record: 35-53
Rank: 15.0
The Mariners were favored to be a contender for the AL West this season. They definitly have not lived up to any expectations. Their lineup has only one .300 hitter, Ichiro Suzuki. They traded Cliff Lee, so their only ace left is Felix Hernandez. Also their bullpen has been dreadful so far this season. I expect them to finish in last place.
In the National League the Braves will take the East, the Cardinals will take the Central, and the Padres will take the West. I think the wild card spot will be a fight between the Mets and the Rockies, but I think the Mets will come out on top. The NLCS will be between the Braves and the Padres, but the Braves will make it to the World Series.
In the American League, the Yankees will take the East and the Rangers will take the West. The Tigers and the Twins will battle it out again toward the end, but this year I think the Tigers will move on to the postseason. The Rays will take the wild card spot. The ALCS will be a battle between the Rays and the Yankees, but the Yankees will move on to the World Series.
The Braves and the Yankees will face each other in the World Series. The Yankees will win the series for championship number 28 in six games.
