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Jesus Montero
13 years ago  ::  Jun 04, 2009 - 3:14PM #1
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The Yanks just reported that Montero was promoted from A Tampa to AA Trenton. He has put up impressive numbers -- at least last year and so far this year -- and is still only 19.

What do we know about him? Is he "the goods"?

Is he Posada's long-term successor?

When may we expect him to make the Yankees' active roster?

How does he fit into the Yanks' long-term plans relative to Cervelli and Austin Romine, who is also a catcher by trade but this year has been listed as DH at Class-A Tampa?

How are his defensive skills?

13 years ago  ::  Jun 04, 2009 - 5:11PM #2
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Is Major League ready with the bat right now.

The problem is, he's below average behind the plate right now.

His build is going to be a problem because he is 6'5'' with a bulky upper body. Not the 6'5'' of Mauer or Weiters, but more like a linebacker.

He's improving behind the plate and they're feverishly working with him, but it's looking more like a DH or 1B role for him...which we don't need.

13 years ago  ::  Jun 04, 2009 - 5:21PM #3
Posts: 10,102

His defensive abilities are below average.

His bat is second to none amongst propects in terms of power AND average.

Many speculate that he will outgrow his position. However 1B is locked up for 8 years with Teixeira and he is not very fast so he would be an average outfielder at best. However his bat makes him worth the risk in the outfield.

Romine is certainly overshadowed by Montero, but he has a good bat and great defensive skills. If I was the Yankees I would envision Cervelli as the backup and Romine the starter down the road.

As far as Montero goes, I would look to maximize his potential with the lumber by changing his position or DH-ing him often. He hits the ball more frequently and with more power when he is not catching.

His ceiling would be an MLB slugger that can hit 40+ HR's and hit for a .300+ average, although I don't think he can reach that potential behind the plate. So far behind the plate in his career he hits about .280-.290 with less power. His DH numbers are well over .300, although keep in mind that this is a very small sample size. It's possible that this short trend could change.

I personally believe that he will outgrow catching anyways. He's 19 and 6'4" 225lbs. Joe Mauer is exactly the same size, but he is 26 and done growing. Mauer also misses a significant amount of time on the DL. I would think that Montero will be 230-240 by the time he's 21-22. That's just too big to catch. Catching is hard enough on the knees as it is, even for a youngster. As you get older at that size it just becomes harder and harder to catch year in and year out. I'd rather see him DH or find another position, where he could focus strictly on hitting.

Rarely are there prospects that you can label "a sure thing", but he is about as close as you will ever see to a sure thing playing in the lower minors. The promotion to Trenton at age 19 is quite a testament to his abilities. He is one of the youngest players in the league, and I wouldn't be the least bit surprised to see him continue raking up there. If he has a hole in his swing it's hitting the inside pitch. Moving to AA should help him address that.

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13 years ago  ::  Jun 04, 2009 - 5:26PM #4
Posts: 10,102

Also on the topic of trading Montero- (because it's sure to come up)

I'll say that I think it could be the worst idea that the Yankees could possibly dream up. He will mash in the new Yankee stadium. He has power to all fields which means that he would hit a ton of hr's to right.

You just don't trade 19 year old with the talent he has, even if it means that he doesn't really have a position and he is strictly a DH.

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13 years ago  ::  Jun 16, 2009 - 12:58AM #5
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Your knowledge is impressive. Many thanks.
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