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Random Minor League Notes: 2019 Edition
4 years ago  ::  Dec 05, 2018 - 8:04PM #41
Posts: 32,868

Prospect Profile: Frank German

(Jon Monaghan/Broken Bat Media)

Frank German | RHP

German, 21, was born in Queens and he grew up about a half hour north of Tampa in Spring Hills, Florida. He was not a significant pro prospect coming out of Bishop McLaughlin Catholic High School — Baseball America (subs. req’d) didn’t rank him among the top 500 prospects for the 2016 draft — so he went undrafted and followed through on his commitment to the University of North Florida.

As a freshman with the Ospreys, German split time between the rotation and bullpen, and finished the season with a 4.91 ERA and 22/13 K/BB in 33 innings. He pitched for the Madison Mallards of the wood bat Northwoods League that summer and threw 45 innings with a 2.60 ERA and 38/22 K/BB. Baseball America (subs. req’d) did not rank him among the top ten prospects in the circuit after the season.

German moved into the rotation full-time as a sophomore and was dominant, posting a 2.43 ERA with 76/26 K/BB in 81 innings. That earned him a spot on the All-Conference First Team and put him on the 2018 draft map. So did his stint with the Wareham Gateman of the Cop Cod League that summer. German struck out 17 in 12.2 relief innings, though Baseball America (subs. req’d) didn’t rank him among the league’s top 30 prospects.

As a junior this past spring German emerged as one of the best college pitchers in the country. He threw 91.1 innings with a 1.58 ERA and 108/14 K/BB, and was again named to the All-Conference First Team. German was also a semifinalist for the Golden Spikes Award, which is given annually to the best amateur player in the country. It’s not quite the equivalent of the Heisman Trophy (high schoolers can win it, technically), but it’s close.

Baseball America (subs. req’d) ranked German as the 157th best prospect in the 2018 draft class while MLB.com ranked him 191st. The Yankees selected him with their fourth round pick, the 127th overall selection, and signed him within a week of the draft to a below-slot $347,500 bonus. Slot money for the 127th overall pick was $430,400. German is the highest draft pitcher (and third highest drafted player overall) in North Florida history.

Pro Debut
The Yankees took it easy on German after his big college workload, plus the fact he pitched spring and summer ball the previous two years. He made one tune-up appearance in the rookie Gulf Coast League before moving up to Short Season Staten Island, where he made six starts and five relief appearances. All told, German threw 28.1 innings with a 2.22 ERA (1.44 FIP) and 38/6 K/BB for Staten Island. That works out to a 33.3% strikeout rate and a 5.3% walk rate. German did not participate in Instructional League after the season for workload reasons.

Scouting Report
The Yankees have already worked their arm strength magic with German. He saw his fastball jump into the 94-96 mph range with a few 98s in pro ball after sitting mostly 90-94 mph in college. The Yankees have a knack for getting their pitching prospects to add velocity and German is the latest example. He was 94-96 mph with Staten Island and we’ll see whether he holds it across a full season in 2019.

German’s breaking ball sat somewhere between a curveball and a slider in college and the Yankees are working with him to firm it up into a true slider. It’s a hard low-to-mid-80s offering that has flashed swing-and-miss potential throughout his career. He also has a sneaky good mid-80s changeup that tumbles down and away from left-handed batters. German has the makings of three quality pitches and he’s not shy about pitching in the strike zone.

German has good size (6-foot-2 and 195 lbs.) and good athleticism, and he repeats his delivery fairly effortlessly. Going forward, the question is whether he can develop that slurvy breaking ball into a legitimate out pitch. If he does, he has enough fastball and enough command and enough of a third pitch to start long-term. If not, German will probably settle into a relief role, and there’s nothing wrong with that nowadays.

2019 Outlook
The Yankees have a ton of good lower level pitching prospects and the numbers crunch may determine German’s ultimate 2019 assignment. Normally an Opening Day assignment to High-A Tampa would be the likely outcome for a prospect like this. Albert Abreu, Freicer Perez, and the Garcias (Deivi and Rony) may already be ticketed for Tampa though, leaving just one available rotation spot. Even if he gets pushed down to Low-A Charleston to begin the season, I don’t expect German to stay there long. My money’s on him finishing 2019 with Double-A Trenton no matter what path he takes to get there.

My Take
I like German. Probably more than I should. I like that he’s already added some velocity (again, we’ll see if it sticks) and I like that he already has a pretty good changeup. Yeah, he does have to figure out his breaking ball, but what do you expect from a fourth round bonus pool saving pick? (Some of the $82,900 the Yankees saved with German went to second rounder Josh Breaux.) You’re not getting three MLB ready pitches and command in the fourth round.

I’m not sure the numbers will tell us a whole lot about German next season. As successful as he was in the Atlantic Sun Conference the last two years (ASUN is an MLB pitcher factory), I’m not sure Low-A and High-A hitters will challenge him much. Throw enough strikes with the fastball and flash a good secondary pitch and you’ll do okay in Single-A ball. We might not learn much about German until he reaches Double-A, which of course could be as soon as next year. I don’t see a future star or anything, but I think the tools are there for German to be a useful big leaguer in the future.

4 years ago  ::  Dec 06, 2018 - 7:56PM #42
Posts: 32,868

A New Era in the Farm System [2018 Season Review]

Florial. (Presswire)

It has been a crazy few years in the farm system. The Yankees had a middle of the pack system on Opening Day 2016. By the end of that season it was arguably the best farm system in the game, mostly because of the team’s trade deadline sell-off, but also because several guys who were already in the system broke out. Since the end of the 2016 season, that strong farm system has provided a steady pipeline of talent to the Bronx.

The farm system now is not what the farm system was then because of graduations and trades (and injuries and poor performances), which is what we all expected. If you have great prospects, you want them to become great big leaguers and leave the farm system behind. That is exactly what’s happened for the Yankees. The system is back to being middle of the pack now, maybe even worse, and for all the right reasons. Let’s review the year that was down in the minors.

The Graduates

The last two seasons (two and a half, really) have been incredible in terms of graduating prospects from the farm system to the big leagues. Gary Sanchez arrived in 2016. Last year it was Aaron Judge, Jordan Montgomery, and Chad Green. This season the Yankees graduated 3B Miguel Andujar (season review) and IF Gleyber Torres (season review) to the big leagues, and they finished second and third in the AL Rookie of the Year voting, respectively. They came into the season as the top two position player prospects in the farm system.

Also graduating to MLB this year were RHP Jonathan Holder (season review), RHP Domingo German(season review), and IF Tyler Wade (season review). Wade actually exhausted his rookie eligibility last season through service time, but it wasn’t until this year that he exceeded the 130 at-bat rookie limit. Four of my preseason top 30 Yankees prospects joined the Yankees and exhausted their rookie eligibility this season. (Five of the top ten and six of the top 13 on my 2017 list have since graduated to the Yankees.) As a result, the Yankees had the fourth highest rookie WAR in baseball in 2018.

The New Top Prospect

Up until two and a half weeks ago, the Yankees’ top prospect was LHP Justus Sheffield (season review), who pitched well with Triple-A Scranton this season and struggled during his brief MLB cameo. The Yankees cashed him in as a trade chip last month to land James Paxton, who is essentially what we all hoped Sheffield would one day become. Sheffield still has work to do with his command and that made it unlikely he would contribute to the Yankees as a starter in a significant way in 2019. It also made it easier for the win now Yankees to trade him.

With Sheffield traded the new top prospect in the organization is OF Estevan Florial and almost by default too. All those graduations and trades the last two years have thinned the farm system considerably. That is the cost of doing business. You can either have a great farm system or a great big league team. Having both at the same time is damn near impossible nowadays with the draft and international free agency spending restrictions. I will happily live with a thinned out farm system while the Yankees field a 100-win team in the Bronx.

Anyway, Florial had a difficult season in 2018. He started the year with High-A Tampa, hit .246/.353/.343 (107 wRC+) with one home run in his first 36 games, then went down with wrist surgery. Hamate bone removal sidelined him for seven weeks. Florial wrecked the rookie Gulf Coast League during his rehab assignment (.548/.600/1.000 in nine games), then managed a .263/.355/.375 (112 wRC+) line with two homers in his final 39 games with Tampa. Florial hit a weak .178/.294/.260 in 21 Arizona Fall League games after the season.

The bad news? Well, pretty much all of it. Florial needed wrist surgery and he didn’t perform all that well this season, though it is entirely possible (if not likely) the wrist injury contributed to that. He could’ve been (likely was) playing hurt before surgery, and it usually takes some time to get back to normal after wrist surgery, so yeah. The good news? Florial’s contact numbers improved:

  • 2017 in Low-A: 31.9% strikeouts and 15.2% swings and misses
  • 2018 in High-A: 25.7% strikeouts and 13.1% swings and misses

Florial also improved his walk rate as well, going from 10.5% walks in 2017 to 13.0% walks in 2018, but that doesn’t do much for me. Minor league walk rates are fickle, especially in Single-A ball, where most pitchers are control-challenged. Moving up a level and shaving more than six percentage points off your strikeout rate is not nothing though. Contact is Florial’s biggest weakness — he is a four-tool player and the one tool he lacks is the hit tool, and that is a tantalizing profile with a high bust rate — and hopefully those contact gains this year are real.

The Breakout Prospects

King. (Jason Farmer/Scranton Times-Tribune)

It was a good year for pitching prospects in the farm system. The Yankees don’t have a future ace in the system — there are only a handful of those guys in the minors — but they are loaded with potential starters and depth arms, among them RHP Jonathan Loaisiga (season review). Many of those pitching prospects took a step forward this season and cemented themselves as legitimate big league prospects who may not be more than a year or two away from the show.

Statistically, the biggest breakout prospect in the system this year was RHP Mike King, who came over from the Marlins in last winter’s Caleb Smith/Garrett Cooper roster shuffle trade. King rose three levels this season and finished the year with Triple-A Scranton, posting a 1.79 ERA (2.76 FIP) with 24.4% strikeouts and 4.7% walks in a whopping 161.1 innings. King is a fastball command guy whose secondary stuff is good but not great, so he’s a stats before scouting report prospect. Still, have that much success and reach Triple-A, and you’re on the big league radar.

To me, the biggest breakout prospect in the farm system this year was RHP Deivi Garcia. The 19-year-old came into the season as a classic live arm/bad control prospect and suddenly he started throwing strikes. In 14 starts and 74 innings, mostly in Single-A but also one Double-A spot start, Garcia pitched to a 2.55 ERA (2.60 FIP) with 35.5% strikeouts and 6.8% walks. That is the fifth highest strikeout rate and fourth highest K-BB% rate among the 902 pitchers to throw at least 70 innings in the minors this year, and the best marks among teenagers.

Garcia is not the biggest guy at 5-foot-10 and 163 lbs., though he still has room to grow, and even if he can’t handle a starter’s workload long-term, his fastball/curveball combination is plenty good enough for the bullpen. He’s a high spin rate guy — the curveball has reportedly been clocked at 3,000+ rpm and that is super duper elite — and his changeup is better than you’d think. Garcia figuring out how to throw strikes this season is really exciting. This was his breakout year in the organization. Next season might be his breakout year on the global prospect map.

One of my favorite prospects in the system is RHP Roansy Contreras, a just turned 19-year-old kid who more than held his own when pushed to Low-A Charleston late in the season. Contreras had a 2.42 ERA (3.70 FIP) with 24.0% strikeouts and 8.4% walks in 12 starts and 63.1 innings this season, mostly with the RiverDogs but also some with Short Season Staten Island. A teenager with three quality pitches (fastball, curveball, changeup) and command and pitching know-how deserves more prospect love. Roansy has a chance to be awfully good.

RHP Trevor Stephan and RHP Garrett Whitlock, two 2017 draftees, carved up Single-A hitters this summer and reached Double-A. Stephan had a 3.69 ERA (3.60 FIP) with 26.8% strikeouts and 7.3% walks in 124.1 total innings this year. He’s a stuff guy with mid-90s gas and a hard slider. Whitlock is more of a pitchability guy with four pitches (four-seamer, sinker, slider, changeup). He had a 1.86 ERA (3.01 FIP) with 24.9% strikeouts and 8.4% walks in 120.2 innings this year. King and Whitlock had the second lowest and fourth lowest ERAs, respectively, among the 510 pitchers to throw at least 100 innings in the minors this year.

Thanks to some mechanical tweaks IF Brandon Wagner swatted 21 home runs this season after hitting 19 total from 2015-17. His ground ball rates the last four years: 51.4%, 46.5%, 45.5%, 35.6%. Hmmm. Wagner was far better with High-A Tampa (.270/.376/.510 and 154 wRC+) than Double-A Trenton (.262/.290/.346 and 116 wRC+) this year, but he’s a left-handed hitter with some thump who can play first, third, and a little second. The Yankees rolled the dice and left him unprotected in the Rule 5 Draft, which I don’t think is a big deal. Even if he gets picked, he’ll probably come back. I’m curious to see whether the power and air ball tendencies stick this year.

The International Arrivals

The Yankees spent a lot of money during the 2017-18 international signing period — they had some cash to spend after getting spurned by Shohei Ohtani — and they brought many of those 2017-18 international signees stateside this past season. Usually these kids spend a year cutting their teeth in the Dominican Summer League, even the high-profile ones, but not this year. The Yankees had many of them make their pro debuts in the rookie Gulf Coast and Appalachian Leagues. That’s quite a jump.

OF Everson Pereira received a $1.5M bonus last July and the Yankees sent him right to Rookie Pulaski, where he hit .263/.322/.389 (88 wRC+) with three homers and a 32.8% strikeout rate in 41 games. The numbers are not good, obviously, but he was essentially a high school junior playing against college kids fresh out of the draft. “He doesn’t have any 70- or 80-grade tools, but some scouts were confident enough to put future plus grades on his hit, run and raw power already. They also saw a (plus) defender in center field,” said a recent Baseball America scouting report. Periera may be a year way from top 100 prospect status.

The Yankees gave OF Antonio Cabello a $1.35M bonus with their leftover Ohtani money and they immediately moved him from catcher to center field. He’s a very good runner and a good athlete, and he was rough behind the plate defensively, so it made sense to move him to center. He can be an asset out there and the bat will be ready long before his defense at catcher. Cabello hit .308/.427/.522 (168 wRC+) with five homers, a 20.8% strikeout rate, and a 14.8% walk rate in 46 GCL games, and his hitting acumen has drawn Vlad Guerrero Jr. and Juan Soto comparisons. Huh. Cabello dislocated his non-throwing shoulder diving for a ball late in the season and needed surgery, but he’s expected back early next year. Bummer, but the tools are incredibly exciting.

OF Raimfer Salinas received $1.85M in leftover Ohtani money last year and he’s more tooled up than Cabello. He’s a standout defensive center fielder with excellent bat speed and power potential from the right side. Salinas played only eleven GCL games this year because he damaged a finger ligament on a slide, but he’ll be ready to go next year. 2B Ezequiel Duran signed for a mere $10,000 last July and he stunk with Pulaski this year, hitting .201/.251/.311 (48 wRC+) with a 27.7% strikeout rate in 53 games, but he’s an exit velocity monster who’s been praised for his innate hitting ability. Duran wouldn’t be the first guy to figure it out after a poor pro debut.

OF Anthony Garcia ($500,000 bonus) is built like a tank (6-foot-5 and 204 lbs.) and he led the GCL with ten homers in only 44 games this summer. He also struck out in 40.6% (!) of his plate appearances, but a switch-hitter with this kind of power? That’s worth a $500,000 roll of the dice all day, every day. SS Roberto Chirinos ($900,000) is a slick-fielding shortstop with good bat-to-ball skills. He got the bat knocked out of his hands a bit in the GCL though (.238/.289/.337 and 79 wRC+). Pereira and Salinas are 17. Cabello, Garcia, and Chirinos all recently turned 18. Duran is 19. These dudes are the next wave of top prospects, especially Pereira, Cabello, and Salinas.

The Trade Chips

Rogers. (Lindsey Wasson/Getty)

The Yankees had an active trade deadline this year and, more recently, they used Sheffield as the headliner in the Paxton trade. Also sent to Seattle were RHP Erik Swanson and OF Dom Thompson-Williams. Swanson had a 3.86 ERA (3.64 FIP) with 26.8% strikeouts and 4.8% walks in 72.1 Triple-A innings this year and he has a classic back-end starter profile as a fastball/slider/changeup guy. Thompson-Williams became a launch angle guy this year and hit .299/.363/.546 (157 wRC+) with 22 homers in 100 Single-A games. He hit six homers from 2016-17. Swanson’s a nice depth arm. I’m curious to see how the launch angle thing works for Thompson-Williams in Double-A this year. Both guys are nice prospects who were expendable to the Yankees.

At the actual trade deadline, the Yankees shipped three pitching prospects to the Orioles for Zach Britton: RHP Cody CarrollLHP Josh Rogers, and RHP Dillon Tate (season reviews). Tate is easily the best prospect of the three and he still has work to do to refine his command. He had a 3.38 ERA (3.78 FIP) before the trade and a 5.75 ERA (4.14 FIP) after the trade, all in the Double-A Eastern League. Being a pitcher in need of development in the Orioles system is a bad place to be. Poor Dillon. OF Billy McKinney (season review) was sent to the Blue Jays in the J.A. Happ trade along with Brandon Drury. He hit .226/.299/.495 (120 wRC+) with Triple-A Scranton before the trade while repeating the level. Eh.

In late August the Yankees used IF Abi Avelino and RHP Juan De Paula to get Andrew McCutchen from the Giants. Avelino bounced between Double-A and Triple-A for the second straight season and hit .287/.333/.446 (117 wRC+) with 15 homers in 123 games before the trade, which represents the best season of his career. Avelino is a classic utility type who went 3-for-11 (.273) as a September call-up with San Francisco. De Paula had a 1.71 ERA (3.46 FIP) with 23.4% strikeouts in 47.1 innings before the trade. He repeated Short Season Staten Island as a 21-year-old, which was kinda weird to me. I get the feeling the Yankees were down on the kid, which probably led to the trade.

The Yankees turned longtime organizational arm LHP Caleb Frare into international bonus money in a trade with the White Sox in July. The 25-year-old had a 0.81 ERA (2.23 FIP) with 33.3% strikeouts and 8.6% walks in 44.2 relief innings, almost all at Double-A before the trade, then he struck out nine in seven innings as a September call-up with Chicago. Good for him. Oft-injured RHP Drew Finley went to the Dodgers for Tim Locastro a few weeks ago. Finley’s father works in Los Angeles’ front office, so the trade is something of a homecoming for him.

Aside from Tate, the best prospect the Yankees traded at the deadline this year is little known RHP Luis Rijo. He went to the Twins in the Lance Lynn trade with Tyler Austin. The 20-year-old had a 2.77 ERA (2.50 FIP) with 19.5% strikeouts and 1.5% walks in 39 innings before the trade and a 1.27 ERA (3.85 FIP) with 20.5% strikeouts and 4.8% walks in 21.1 innings after the trade, all in short season leagues. Rijo is a fastball/curveball/changeup guy and Baseball America recently said “his tremendous feel for locating the baseball should give him a chance to become a backend starter.” Having a multitude of Luis Rijos in the system to use as trade deadline fodder is an underrated strength of the farm system. The Yankees are loaded with these guys.

The Busted Prospects

“Busted” is probably too harsh here, but, as always, several prospects in the system had tough 2018 seasons. There are always going to be injuries and poor performances. That’s baseball. RHP Freicer Perez struggled in six starts with High-A Tampa (21 runs and 19 walks in 25 innings) before having season-ending surgery to remove bone spurs from his shoulder. The good news is his rotator cuff and labrum (and capsule) were not damaged. The bad news is 2018 was a lost season for Perez, one of the better pitching prospects in the system.

RHP Albert Abreu, the best right-handed pitching prospect in the system coming into the season, missed more time with elbow problems and posted a 5.20 ERA (4.75 FIP) with 22.7% strikeouts and 9.8% walks in 72.2 innings at mostly High-A. Abreu has really good stuff — it’s an upper-90s fastball with a knockout curveball — but he’s thrown only 126 innings in two years since coming over in the Brian McCann trade, and we’ve yet to see him truly dominant for an extended period of time. Abreu has ability but he’s just kinda spinning his wheels right now.

RHP Luis Medina stayed healthy all season but lordy was it bad. The 19-year-old threw 36 innings with Rookie Pulaski and pitched to a 6.25 ERA (6.46 FIP) with 25.5% strikeouts and 25.0% walks. That is 47 strikeouts and 46 walks in 36 innings. Yuuup. Medina’s stuff is electric — it’s a Dellin Betances caliber fastball and breaking ball — and he has the highest ceiling of any pitcher in the organization. But the poor kid has no idea where the ball is going right now. Like Dellin, he’s gonna be a long-term project.

The two best middle infield prospects in the organization, SS Thairo Estrada and SS Kyle Holder, had brutal seasons. Estrada got shot during a robbery in January and also battled wrist and back trouble during the season. He was limited to 18 regular season games and had the bullet removed from his hip in June. Thairo did heal up in time to play in the Arizona Fall League. Holder fractured a vertebrae in Spring Training and missed two months, and then missed three weeks with a concussion later in the season. He also went home for two weeks at midseason after his brother passed away. Holder played 48 games this year.

3B Dermis Garcia continued to flash big power (15 homers in 88 Low-A games) and big swing-and-miss issues (30.6% strikeouts), and the Yankees had him throw some bullpen sessions to see how he looked on the mound. Dermis never did appear in a game as a pitcher though. SS Hoy Jun Park had a much better season that you may realize — he hit .258/.387/.349 (122 wRC+) with 18 steals and nearly as many walks (16.2%) as strikeouts (16.4%) in 103 High-A games — but the Yankees are still waiting for the $1.2M bonus kid to take that big step forward developmentally.

RHP Chance Adams (season review) underwhelmed while repeating Triple-A (4.78 ERA and 4.87 FIP) and is at something of a career crossroads. Early next season might be his last chance to prove he can hack it as a starter. The Yankees have kept him at arm’s length thus far — his lone big league start was an emergency spot start when Happ went down with hand, foot, and mouth disease. RHP Domingo Acevedo (season review) again battled injuries and was limited to 69.1 innings.

Other Notable Prospects

Almost exactly one year to the day after being selected in the first round of the 2017 draft, RHP Clarke Schmidt completed his Tommy John surgery rehab and made his pro debut. He managed a 3.09 ERA (2.61 FIP) with 33.0% strikeouts and 6.6% walks in 23.1 closely monitored innings in his return, and by all accounts his stuff looked pretty good. Like his pre-Tommy John surgery stuff, basically. Schmidt’s season came to an end in late August with what has been reported as a non-arm injury. Not sure what’s going on there.i

RHP Matt Sauer, last year’s second round pick, had a weird season with Short Season Staten Island, statistically. He threw more strikes than I expected (6.4% walks) and missed way fewer bats than I expected (15.9% strikeouts and 7.1% swings and misses). The Yankees helped Sauer improve his delivery and tempo and it’s possible this year’s statistical weirdness can be attributed to him adjusting to his new mechanics. I dunno. We’ll see what happens next year.

RHP Nick Green is one of my favorite prospects in the system. I find him fascinating. He has this funky cutter/sinker hybrid fastball that helped him lead the minors with a 66.4% ground ball rate (min. 130 IP) by nearly five percentage points this season. Green doesn’t have much else to work with aside from the, uh, cut-sinker (?), but if you’re only going to have one pitch, a dominant ground ball (cut-)sinker is a good pitch to have. Green threw 132.2 innings with a 3.32 ERA (4.28 FIP) with 17.7% strikeouts and 11.1% walks this season, with most of that coming with High-A Tampa.

Easy to overlook in the pitching ranks is RHP Nick Nelson, who quietly sits in the mid-to-upper-90s with his fastball and features a hammer power curveball. This season he threw 121.1 innings, mostly at High-A Tampa, with a 3.55 ERA (3.12 FIP) and high walk (12.1%) and strikeout (27.5%) rates. Nelson had the 37th most strikeouts (144) and also the 27th most walks (63) in the minors this year. I’m not sure the control or third pitch will ever be there for him to start long-term. I sure am interested to see what Nelson can do in short one-inning relief bursts though.

OF Isiah Gilliam might belong in the “Busted Prospects” section — again, “busted” may be too harsh — after hitting .256/.313/.397 (103 wRC+) with 13 homers in 125 High-A games this year. He had a 137 wRC+ with 21.7% strikeouts and 10.8% walks in Low-A last season. This season it was a 103 wRC+ with 29.0% strikeouts and 6.9% walks in High-A. SS Diego Castillo didn’t hit much with High-A Tampa (.260/.307/.324 and 83 wRC+) but he makes a ton of contact (9.1% strikeouts and 6.1% swings and misses) and can play the hell out of shortstop. I hope the bat catches up to the glove soon.

RHP Luis Gil and RHP Juan Then are on opposite ends of the pitching prospect spectrum in terms of style. Gil is a straight grip it and rip it guy who touched 101 mph this season and registers strong spin rates on his curveball. The 20-year-old struck out 68 batters in 46 short season innings this year. He also walked 31. Then, 18, already has three good pitches (fastball, curveball, changeup) and a plan on the mound. The kid is 6-foot-1 and 155 lbs. right now and the Yankees are hoping his low-90s heater becomes a mid-to-upper-90s heater as he matures. Then had a 2.70 ERA (3.22 FIP) with 21.5% strikeouts and 5.6% walks in 50 GCL innings in 2018.

RHP Stephen Tarpley (season review) led the minors with a 68.1% ground ball rate (min. 65 IP) this season and earned himself both a September call-up and a spot on the ALDS roster. RHP Joe Harveywas untouchable as Triple-A Scranton’s closer this year, pitching to a 1.66 ERA (2.49 FIP) with 28.5% strikeouts and 9.8% walks in 54.1 innings for the RailRiders. The Yankees added him to the 40-man roster to protect him from the Rule 5 Draft last month. We’re going to see these two dudes in the big league bullpen next year, even if they’re only shuttle guys.

The 2018 Draft

Last season’s 91-71 record gave the Yankees the 23rd overall pick in the 2018 draft, which they used on C Anthony Seigler (prospect profile). He’s the best prospect the Yankees drafted this year (duh) followed by second rounder C Josh Breaux (prospect profile) and fourth rounder RHP Frank German(prospect profile). Here are my Day OneDay Two, and Day Three draft recaps.

Among the late round picks, RHP Rodney Hutchison (sixth round) created some buzz right before the draft because his fastball ticked up and he showed an improved slider. He had a 1.97 ERA (3.02 FIP) with very good strikeout (24.4%), walk (4.7%), and ground ball (64.4%) rates in 32 innings with Short Season Staten Island in his pro debut. RHP Tanner Myatt (11th round) opened some eyes with his 97-99 mph heater and hard slider after turning pro. He struck out 22 in 18.1 mostly rookie ball innings.

While the high picks like Seigler and Breaux get all the attention and understandably so — my money is on Seigler being the consensus No. 1 prospect in the system at this time next year — the late rounds are where the Yankees have built their farm system depth. Guys like Rogers (11th), Whitlock (18th round), and Carroll (22nd round) were all unheralded Day Three picks in recent years who developed into solid prospects and, in Rogers’ and Carroll’s case, trade chips. A year from now we might be talking about Hutchison and Myatt as the next late round success stories.

The Best of the Rest

The Yankees have more minor leaguers under contract that any other team. That doesn’t necessarily mean they have more prospects. It just means they have more minor leaguers. As J.J. Cooper explained in August, the Yankees have nine minor league affiliates and thus can have roughly 340 players under contract. Most other organizations only have six or seven minor league affiliates, and can carry around 290 contracts. Those extra 50 (!) roster spots mean the Yankees have more innings and at-bats to play with, and more spots for lottery tickets.

Although the farm system isn’t nearly as robust now as it was a year or two ago, the Yankees do still have a pretty deep system, especially in arms. Here are the last few notables worth mentioning as part of our farm system review:

  • OF Trey Amburgey: Righty hitter and thrower has some pop and authored an underwhelming .258/.300/.418 (97 wRC+) line with Double-A Trenton this year.
  • SS Oswaldo Cabrera: The tools are all there but the production is not. Cabrera hit .229/.273/.320 (70 wRC+) with a 12.5% strikeout rate with Low-A Charleston this year.
  • RHP Rony Garcia: Cutter specialist reached High-A at age 20 this year and posted solid strikeout (21.0%) and walk (5.5%) rates in 119 innings. Deivi pulled away as the system’s best Garcia though.
  • RHP Yoendrys Gomez: Mid-90s fastball and a rainbow curveball produced a 2.08 ERA (3.57 FIP) and 25.8% strikeouts in 47.2 rookie ball innings this summer. Someone to watch.
  • RHP Nolan Martinez: Finally stayed healthy and threw 61.2 innings with 3.36 ERA (4.19 FIP) this year. He threw 20.2 innings total from 2016-17. Next year will be a big one.
  • OF Pablo Olivares: Personal favorite hit .322/.391/.442 (142 wRC+) in 70 Single-A games before an unknown injury ended his season in July. That’s too bad.
  • RHP Glenn Otto: Last year’s fifth rounder showed a dynamite fastball/curveball combination in his two starts before needing season-ending surgery to treat a blood clot in his shoulder.
  • OF Alex Palma: Built on last year’s breakout with a .299/.348/.459 (132 wRC+) line in 52 High-A games. He suffered a season-ending injury in an outfield collision in July.

I’m looking forward to full seasons of Gomez and Martinez next year and I want to see how Olivares, Otto, and Palma rebound from their injuries. Especially Otto and especially especially Olivares. He’s not a star prospect like the stat line would lead you to believe, but he can do everything well. Just a solid all-around ballplayer. Had he not gotten hurt, the 20-year-old Olivares might’ve finished the season in Double-A and been added to the 40-man roster after the season. Instead, the Yankees are gambling no team will take an injured Single-A outfielder in the Rule 5 Draft.

What’s Next?

As was the case last year, the farm system now is worse than it was in March, and for good reason. The Yankees graduated two high-end prospects to the big leagues in Torres and Andujar, and they used several others in trades, most notably Sheffield and Tate. If the farm system is going to take a hit, you want it to take a hit because guys are graduating and being traded for MLB help, and that’s what happened with the Yankees.

Barring a fire sale — the Yankees might get prospects for Sonny Gray but otherwise they aren’t selling veterans anytime soon — it is awfully tough for the Yankees to build a farm system now. They have back of the first round draft picks (30th overall in 2019) and the draft and international spending restrictions level the playing field. The Yankees added some very exciting international kids (Pereira, Cabello) and new draftees (Seigler) to the system this year. It’ll take a year or two before they develop into foundational prospects, however. Fortunately the farm system has already done its part strengthening the MLB team.

4 years ago  ::  Dec 07, 2018 - 1:58PM #43
Posts: 379

Who could the Yankees lose in the annual Rule 5 draft? We take a look here:


4 years ago  ::  Dec 07, 2018 - 7:18PM #44
Posts: 32,868
4 years ago  ::  Dec 09, 2018 - 9:35AM #45
Posts: 32,868

Prospect Profile: Albert Abreu

It wasn’t that long ago that Brian Cashman and the Yankees organization made the conscious decision to rebuild what was a lackluster minor league system. They succeeded with a combination of smart draft picks and signings, along with some savvy trades. One such trade my turn out to be when the Yankees sent Brian McCann to Houston in 2016. They received pitchers Albert Abreu and Jorge Guzman. The latter was again flipped to bring Giancarlo Stanton to New York, while Abreu finds himself as one of the top prospects in the Yankees’ system.

Albert Abreu:

DOB: September 26, 1995
B/T: R/R
Height: 6’2
Weight: 175

Abreu signed with Houston in 2013 out of the Dominican Republic. He started fourteen games in 2014 for the Astros’ rookie league team, putting together a 2.78 ERA over 68 innings. He averaged 7.15 K/9 and only walked 3.84 per nine innings. In his first season in the Yankees’ system, Abreu made a couple starts in Rookie ball and with Charleston before making nine starts for Tampa. He went 1.3 with a 4.19 ERA, but he also managed to strike out 31, while only walking fifteen. A shoulder injury kept Abreu out for much of the season, so the Yankees sent him to the Arizona Fall League where he threw 27.2 innings for a 2.60 ERA and holding opposing hitters to a .219 average.

This past season, Abreu spent a solid chunk with Tampa, throwing 62.2 innings over thirteen starts. He started the season with appendicitis, once again slowing him down, but he put up strong numbers in High-A. He averaged 9.34 strikeouts per nine innings pitched, with only 4.16 BB/9. If he can stay healthy, Abreu should start the year in Trenton and could find his way to the Bronx in the not-so-distant future.

Abreu projects to be a solid starter, commanding three plus pitches. He is a deceptive pitcher, utilizing a short-arm delivery and some strong throwing. Abreu’s fastball grades as a 65 and runs 93-98 mph, hitting three digits on occasions. He can get good movement with his fastball, helping with that strikeout ratio. His second pitch is a curveball that can sometimes appear like slider. It is a power breaking pitch and complements a decent changeup that he can also use to strike out batters.

If Abreu stays healthy, this should be a crucial year for the young hurler. He continues to improve his consistency and command, making him more and more of a lock to continue starting in the majors. If you find him standing on the mound in the Bronx in a couple years, you can imagine the Yankees will continue to look back on that trade for Brian McCann as a massive success.

4 years ago  ::  Dec 10, 2018 - 10:57AM #46
Posts: 379

Nick Nelson is working on improving his pitching arsenal for 2019


4 years ago  ::  Dec 12, 2018 - 4:53PM #47
Posts: 32,868

Prospect Profile: Ryder Green

Green at the 2017 East Coast Pro Showcase in Tampa. (Cliff Welch/Getty)

Ryder Green | OF

Green, 18, grew up in Knoxville and attended three high schools in four years. He spent his freshman and sophomore years at Hardin Valley Academy, his junior year at Knoxville Christian School, and his senior year at Karns High School. Green made a name for himself with his batting practice displays on the summer showcase circuit, and as a senior this spring he hit .462 with double-digit home runs while playing with wood bats.

Going into the 2018 draft MLB.com and Keith Law (subs. req’d) both ranked Green as the 82nd best prospect in the draft class while Baseball America (subs. req’d) ranked him 98th. The Yankees selected him with their third round pick, the 97th overall selection, and signed him to an overslot $997,500 bonus. Slot money for the 97th pick was $576,400. Green had leverage because he was committed to Vanderbilt, a top school and baseball program.

Pro Debut
The Yankees sent Green to the rookie Gulf Coast League for his pro debut and he hit .203/.316/.392 (101 wRC+) with three home runs and three stolen bases, plus a healthy walk rate (11.6%). Green also posted astronomical strikeout (36.8%) and swing-and-miss (37.8%) rates. He struck out at least once in 19 of his 26 games this summer. Green participated in Instructional League after the season.

Scouting Report
Green is a slugger first and a hitter second. He’s not the biggest dude (6-foot-0 and 200 lbs.) but he has excellent bat speed and raw strength, and was one of the top power hitting prospects in the 2018 draft. Statcast recorded premium exit velocity numbers when Green participated in showcase events at pro parks. The bat speed and raw pop project out to 30+ home runs down the line. The power is legit.

With that power comes a lot of swing-and-misses. Green knows the strike zone but he does sell out for power, especially in hitter’s counts, and that produces less contact that you’d like. It’s a real question as to whether Green will ever make enough contact to tap into that huge power potential in games.

Green is more than a one-dimensional slugger. He’s a good athlete who runs well and can play center field right now, though chances are he’ll move to right field down the line. Green has a very strong arm — he pitched in the low-90s and showed a nifty little curveball in high school — so he projects to add value on the bases and in the field. The power and speed and defense give him All-Star potential if he ever figures out how to make consistent contact.2019 Outlook

An 18-year-old kid with these swing-and-miss and contact issues is a very safe bet to wind up in Extended Spring Training to begin next season. Green will stay at the home base in Tampa until the short season leagues being their seasons in late June. An assignment to Rookie Pulaski or Short Season Staten Island is a safe bet. I would be really surprised if Green sees anything more than a late-season cameo with Low-A Charleston next year.

My Take
I like Green’s potential but the swing-and-miss issues are an big obstacle. The Yankees successfully turned a similar prospect in an MVP caliber producer with Aaron Judge, though that had as much to do with Judge’s hitting acumen and ability to make adjustments as it did the team’s development folks. Can Green make similar adjustments? Probably not because few can, but the Yankees deemed it worth a third round pick and close to a million bucks to find out. I am very intrigued by Green’s ability but he has a lot of work to do to become a big leaguer.

4 years ago  ::  Dec 13, 2018 - 10:42AM #48
Posts: 32,868

Prospect Profile: Anthony Seigler

While Brian Cashman claims he views Gary Sanchez as “part of our solution” for the Yankees’ future, they have once again found themselves a top catching prospect to be excited about. The Yankees picked up Anthony Seigler with the 23rd pick in the 2018 draft. The versatile young player has a way to go before he gets a chance in the Big Leagues, but he quickly found high self high on the Yankees’ Top Prospect lists.

Name: Anthony Seigler
Birthdate: June 20, 1999
Position: Catcher
Bats/Throws: S/S
Height: 6’0
Weight: 200

The Georgia native had committed to the University of Florida, but there was no doubt that he was going to start his professional career as soon as possible. Sure enough, he signed five days after the Yankees drafted him, netting a $2.8 million bonus.

Much like former Yankee farmhand, Pat Venditte, Seigler was a switch pitcher able to throw adeptly with either arm. His longterm future, however, was always behind the plate, not on the mound. It’s his ability to switch hit that is

Seigler started his pro career with the Yankees’ Gulf Coast League team, eventually moving to the Pulaski Yankees. He missed a couple weeks due to a hamstring injury and then missed the last week when he caught a foul tip with his face, causing a concussion. Still, the youngster put together a solid first stint in Rookie Ball and should be primed for an exciting first full season come Spring.

In twelve games in both Pulaski and the GCL, Seigler put up a slash line of .266/.379/.342/.721. He had three doubles and a homer, drawing fourteen walks and striking out twelve times. He scored eleven runs and drove in nine RBIs.

Seigler is a true switch hitter, able to hit more for power from the left. He uses the entire field and has good strike zone discipline. Seigler projects to hit for average, but given his solid size and youth, if he can build some strength he could put together double digit homers. For a catcher, his average speed makes him almost fast on the bases.

Defensively, Seigler is a strong catcher. He is very athletic and has a good arm, good framing and receiving skills and solid baseball instinct. Seigler has the potential to play any number of positions, if catcher doesn’t work out. He has also been praised for his work ethic, apparently even requesting a Spanish speaking roommate so he could work on his Spanish. Overall, he should be a very exciting player to watch over the next few years as he makes his way to the Bronx.

4 years ago  ::  Dec 17, 2018 - 2:41PM #49
Posts: 32,868

2019 Minor League Roster Predictions

Every year I do this, and every year it’s hard. Still, the exercise is fun and I can’t wait to see where all of these players end up to start the season in 2019. Cheers!

Triple-A Scranton Wilkes-Barre

C: Kyle Higashioka
1B: Mike Ford
2B: Thairo Estrada
SS: Tyler Wade
3B: Mandy Alvarez
LF: Zack Zehner
RF: Clint Frazier
CF: Trey Amburgey
DH: Ryan McBroom
UTIL: Billy Fleming

SP1: Chance Adams
SP2: Michael King
SP3: Jonathan Loaisiga
SP4: Domingo Acevedo
SP5: Brian Keller
SP6/Swingman: Nestor Cortes
RP: J.P. Feyereisen
RP: Raynel Espinal
RP: Joe Harvey
RP: David Sosebee
RP: James Reeves

Double-A Trenton

C: Jorge Saez
1B: Chris Gittens
2B: Diego Castillo
SS: Kyle Holder
3B: Hoy Jun Park
LF: Ben Ruta
CF: Estevan Florial
RF: Alexander Palma
DH/UTIL: Brandon Wagner
UTIL: Gosuke Katoh
UTIL: Angel Aguilar
OF: Isiah Gilliam

SP1: Garrett Whitlock
SP2: Nick Nelson
SP3: Albert Abreu
SP4: Trevor Stephen
SP5: Adonis Rosa
RP: Phillip Diehl
RP: Will Carter
RP: Trevor Lane
RP: Andrew Schwaab
RP: Matt Wivinis
RP: Matt Frawley

High-A Tampa

C: Donny Sands
C: Jason Lopez
1B: Steven Sensley
2B: Oswaldo Cabrera
SS: Wilkerman Garcia
3B: Dermis Garcia
LF: Leonardo Molina
CF: Pablo Olivares
RF: Carlos Vidal
DH: Chris Hess
UTIL: Ricky Surum
UTIL: David Metzgar

SP1: Deivi Garcia
SP2: Rony Garcia
SP3: Clarke Schmidt
SP4: Janson Junk
SP5: JP Sears
SP6/Swingman: Reiver Sanmartin
RP: Kyle Zurak
RP: Daniel Ramos
RP: Austin DeCarr
RP: Luis Cedeno
RP: Braden Bristo
RP: Dalton Higgins
RP: Anderson Severino
RP: Daniel Alvarez

Low-A Charleston

C: Josh Breaux
C: Anthony Siegler
1B: Mickey Gasper
2B: Ezequiel Duran
SS: Eduardo Torrealba
3B: Nelson Gomez
LF: Antonio Cabello
CF: Everson Perreira
RF: Canaan Smith
DH: Miguel Flames
SS/2B: Jesus Bastidas
3B/1B: Andres Chaparro
1B/3B: Eric Wagaman
OF: Evan Alexander
OF: Frederick Cuevas
OF: Juan De Leon

SP1: Roansy Contreras
SP2: Glenn Otto
SP3: Harold Cortijo
SP4: Frank German
SP5: Rodney Hutchinson
SP6/Swingman: Miguel Yajure
First man up with callup: Alex Mauricio
Second man up with callup: Matt Sauer
RP: Shawn Semple
RP: Jio Orozco
RP: Nolan Martinez
RP: Daniel Bies
RP: Brooks Kriske
RP: Garrett Mundell
RP: Ron Marinaccio
RP: Kyle Johnson
RP: Austin Gardner
RP: Aaron McGarity

Short Season Low-A Staten Island – NOTE: Many of these guys will end up being call-ups to Low-A Charleston prior to the short season leagues starting. Also, the draft will happen prior to the short season leagues starting, so inevitably that will change who goes where. For now, I’m listing them here as a placeholder. Therefore, I’m also listing seven SP here.

C: Saul Torres
C: Carlos Narvaez
1B: Carlos Tatis
2B: Kyle Gray
SS: Oswald Peraza
3B: Jose Villa
LF: Robert Javier
CF: Raimfer Salinas
RF: Brandon Lockridge
UTIL: Jesus Graterol
UTIL: Matt Pita
UTIL: Mitchell Robinson
UTIL: Daniel Barrios
OF: Jordan Scott
OF Junior Soto
OF: Alex Junior

SP1: Tanner Myatt
SP2: Luis Gil
SP3: Luis Medina
SP4: Yoendrys Gomez
SP5: Juan Then
SP6: Pedro Barrios
SP7: Barrett Loseke
RP: Abel Duarte
RP: Josh Maciejewski
RP: Wellington Diaz
RP: Brett Morales
RP: Jhonatan Munoz
RP: Marcus Evey
RP: Justin Wilson
RP: Yoiber Marquina
RP: Tony Hernandez

Pulaski Yankees

C Antonio Gomez
C Alex Guerrero
1B: Gabriel Mora
2B: Angel Rojas
SS: Roberto Chirinos
3B: Jose Martinez
LF: Ryder Green
CF: Kevin Alcantara
RF: Anthony Garcia
DH/OF: Jesus Severino
OF: Alexander Santana
OF: Stanley Rosario
UTIL: Borinquen Mendez
UTIL: Asdrubal Herrera
UTIL: Brayan Jimenez

SP1: Osiel Rodriguez
SP2: Denny Larrondo
SP3: Alexander Vizcaino
SP4: Pedro Espinola
SP5: Deivi Diaz
SP6/Swingman: Carlos D. Rodriguez
RP: Nelvin Correa
RP: Abismael Villaman
RP: Luis Ojeda
RP: Jairo Garcia
RP: Alex Mejia
RP: Edward Paredes
RP: Tyler Johnson
RP: Keegan Curtis
RP: Kyle Johnson
RP: Charlie Ruegger

GCL Yankees

C: Enyerberth Ascanio
C: Juan Crisp
C: Hemmanuel Rosario
C: Augustine Ramirez
1B: Sandy Mota
1B: Starlin Paulino
1B: Carlos Moreno
2B: Luis Santos
2B: Matt McGarry
2B: Carlos Verdecia
SS: Sincere Smith
SS: Miguel Marte
SS: Ronny Rojas
SS: Alexander Vargas
3B: Deivi Munoz
3B: Dionys Vallejo
3B: Griffin Garabito
OF: Alan Mejia
OF: Madison Santos
OF: Anthony Valenzuela
OF: Nelson Medina
OF: Isaiah Pasteur
OF: Mauro Bonifacio

SP: Elvis Peguero
SP: Nestor Oronel
SP: Kenily Montas
SP: Leonardo Pestana
SP: Anyelo Luna
SP: Denny Larrondo
SP: Juan Carela
SP: Blas Castano
SP: Alfred Vega
SP: Yon Castro
SP: Angel Obando
SP: Carlos Gomez
SP: Cristian Sumoza
SP: Thowar Martinez
SP: Anderson Munoz
RP: Randy Vazquez
RP: Nick Ernst
RP: Derek Craft
RP: Mick Vorhof
RP: Connor Van Hoose
RP: Blakely Brown
RP: Sean Boyle
RP: Jackson Bertsch
RP: Reid Anderson
RP: Felix Alonzo
RP: Diego Cordero

4 years ago  ::  Dec 17, 2018 - 6:26PM #50
Posts: 32,868

Yankees sign Rex Brothers to minor-league contract, per report

The Yankees made yet another pitching move on Monday.

Per Fancred's Jon Heyman, the Yankees signed Rex Brothers to a minor-league contract. This comes after New York made the J.A. Happ signing official and waived Parker Bidwell to make room for the veteran lefty.

Brothers, 30, has made over 300 relief appearances during his career with the Rockies and the Braves, where he spent the last two seasons. Over his seven-year career, he is 20-14 with a 3.79 ERA, with his best season being the 2013 campaign where he posted a 1.74 ERA in 72 appearances.

Brothers was a first-round pick of Colorado in the 2009 MLB draft, and he made his big-league debut in 2011.

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